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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade du Moustoir

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

48%

Lorient

2.08

26%

Draw

3.83

26%

Auxerre

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Lorient xG

Total xG

2.50

1.01

Auxerre xG

48%
26%
26%
LorientDrawAuxerre

2.08

48%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

36%

Lorient

2.75

23%

Auxerre

4.42

Win to Nil

17%

Lorient

5.72

6%

Auxerre

17.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 8.3 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 12.2 12.4 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 9.2 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.5 4.6 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.487
λ Away (xG) 1.013
Total xG 2.500
League avg home goals 1.494
League avg away goals 1.180
Lorient attack strength 1.036
Lorient defence strength 1.054
Auxerre attack strength 0.815
Auxerre defence strength 0.961
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 57