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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

18:00

Venue

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

45%

Lille

2.20

23%

Draw

4.37

32%

Stade Brestois 29

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 2

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Lille xG

Total xG

3.26

1.47

Stade Brestois 29 xG

45%
23%
32%
LilleDrawStade Brestois 29

2.20

45%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.78

Clean Sheet

23%

Lille

4.33

17%

Stade Brestois 29

6.01

Win to Nil

11%

Lille

9.51

5%

Stade Brestois 29

18.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 5.6 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 6.9 10.1 7.4 3.6 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 9.1 6.6 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 3.7 5.4 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.7 2.4 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.793
λ Away (xG) 1.465
Total xG 3.258
League avg home goals 1.503
League avg away goals 1.174
Lille attack strength 0.996
Lille defence strength 1.151
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.084
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.198
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55