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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

32%

Le Havre

3.14

31%

Draw

3.20

37%

Toulouse

2.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.6%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.3%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

Le Havre xG

Total xG

1.95

1.02

Toulouse xG

32%
31%
37%
Le HavreDrawToulouse

3.14

32%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

2.71

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.59

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

36%

Le Havre

2.78

40%

Toulouse

2.53

Win to Nil

11%

Le Havre

8.71

15%

Toulouse

6.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.3 14.6 7.4 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 13.2 13.5 6.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 6.1 6.3 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.9 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.927
λ Away (xG) 1.021
Total xG 1.948
League avg home goals 1.485
League avg away goals 1.200
Le Havre attack strength 0.832
Le Havre defence strength 0.853
Toulouse attack strength 0.998
Toulouse defence strength 0.751
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55