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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

16%

Le Havre

6.29

27%

Draw

3.72

57%

Toulouse

1.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.7%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

12.1%

Away win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.77

Le Havre xG

Total xG

2.42

1.65

Toulouse xG

16%
27%
57%
Le HavreDrawToulouse

6.29

16%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

1.75

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

19%

Le Havre

5.22

46%

Toulouse

2.15

Win to Nil

3%

Le Havre

32.81

27%

Toulouse

3.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 14.7 12.1 6.7 2.8 0.9
1 6.8 11.3 9.3 5.1 2.1 0.7
2 2.6 4.3 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.3
3 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.767
λ Away (xG) 1.652
Total xG 2.419
League avg home goals 1.574
League avg away goals 1.331
Le Havre attack strength 0.608
Le Havre defence strength 1.354
Toulouse attack strength 0.916
Toulouse defence strength 0.802
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56