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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

20:05

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Havre Win

37%

Le Havre

2.68

27%

Draw

3.74

36%

Paris Saint Germain

2.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Le Havre xG

Total xG

2.55

1.26

Paris Saint Germain xG

37%
27%
36%
Le HavreDrawParis Saint Germain

2.68

37%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

2.78

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

28%

Le Havre

3.52

28%

Paris Saint Germain

3.63

Win to Nil

11%

Le Havre

9.44

10%

Paris Saint Germain

10.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 9.9 6.2 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.1 12.7 8.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.5 8.2 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 3.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.288
λ Away (xG) 1.259
Total xG 2.547
League avg home goals 1.509
League avg away goals 1.200
Le Havre attack strength 0.905
Le Havre defence strength 0.858
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.223
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.943
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57