Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Havre Win

50%

Le Havre

2.01

27%

Draw

3.66

23%

Marseille

4.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Le Havre xG

Total xG

2.74

1.07

Marseille xG

50%
27%
23%
Le HavreDrawMarseille

2.01

50%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

4.38

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

34%

Le Havre

2.92

19%

Marseille

5.30

Win to Nil

17%

Le Havre

5.85

4%

Marseille

23.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.9 3.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 10.8 11.5 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.6 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.0 5.4 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.668
λ Away (xG) 1.070
Total xG 2.738
League avg home goals 1.519
League avg away goals 1.292
Le Havre attack strength 0.927
Le Havre defence strength 0.999
Marseille attack strength 0.829
Marseille defence strength 1.185
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66