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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Havre Win

63%

Le Havre

1.60

21%

Draw

4.77

16%

Lorient

6.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Le Havre xG

Total xG

2.90

0.91

Lorient xG

63%
21%
16%
Le HavreDrawLorient

1.60

63%

Home win

4.77

21%

Draw

6.11

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

40%

Le Havre

2.47

14%

Lorient

7.33

Win to Nil

25%

Le Havre

3.95

2%

Lorient

44.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 5.0 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 11.0 10.0 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.9 9.9 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 7.3 6.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
4 3.6 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.992
λ Away (xG) 0.906
Total xG 2.898
League avg home goals 1.723
League avg away goals 1.230
Le Havre attack strength 0.962
Le Havre defence strength 1.217
Lorient attack strength 0.605
Lorient defence strength 1.202
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 4