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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Havre Win

43%

Le Havre

2.35

32%

Draw

3.11

25%

Auxerre

3.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.4%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Le Havre xG

Total xG

1.81

0.74

Auxerre xG

43%
32%
25%
Le HavreDrawAuxerre

2.35

43%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

3.96

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.91

66%

BTTS No

1.52

Clean Sheet

47%

Le Havre

2.11

35%

Auxerre

2.90

Win to Nil

20%

Le Havre

4.95

9%

Auxerre

11.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.4 12.2 4.6 1.1 0.2
1 17.4 13.0 4.8 1.2 0.2
2 9.3 6.9 2.6 0.6 0.1
3 3.3 2.4 0.9 0.2
4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.063
λ Away (xG) 0.745
Total xG 1.808
League avg home goals 1.469
League avg away goals 1.217
Le Havre attack strength 0.771
Le Havre defence strength 0.760
Auxerre attack strength 0.806
Auxerre defence strength 0.939
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61