Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 9 Feb 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

32%

Auxerre

3.17

38%

Draw

2.60

30%

Toulouse

3.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

0 – 1

14.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Auxerre xG

Total xG

1.81

0.89

Toulouse xG

32%
38%
30%
AuxerreDrawToulouse

3.17

32%

Home win

2.60

38%

Draw

3.33

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.60

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

41%

Auxerre

2.44

40%

Toulouse

2.51

Win to Nil

13%

Auxerre

7.75

12%

Toulouse

8.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.3 14.6 6.5 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 15.0 13.4 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 6.9 6.2 2.8 0.8 0.2
3 2.1 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.921
λ Away (xG) 0.893
Total xG 1.814
League avg home goals 1.517
League avg away goals 1.305
Auxerre attack strength 0.826
Auxerre defence strength 0.829
Toulouse attack strength 0.826
Toulouse defence strength 0.735
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 54