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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 24 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Auxerre Win

68%

Auxerre

1.47

22%

Draw

4.47

10%

Saint Etienne

10.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.15

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.89

0.74

Saint Etienne xG

68%
22%
AuxerreDrawSaint Etienne

1.47

68%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

10.41

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

48%

Auxerre

2.10

12%

Saint Etienne

8.62

Win to Nil

32%

Auxerre

3.08

1%

Saint Etienne

89.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 11.9 8.8 3.3 0.8 0.1
2 12.8 9.5 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 9.2 6.8 2.5 0.6 0.1
4 5.0 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
5 2.1 1.6 0.6 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.154
λ Away (xG) 0.740
Total xG 2.894
League avg home goals 1.511
League avg away goals 1.283
Auxerre attack strength 0.919
Auxerre defence strength 0.795
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.725
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.550
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 18