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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Auxerre Win

47%

Auxerre

2.15

27%

Draw

3.76

27%

Rennes

3.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.45

1.02

Rennes xG

47%
27%
27%
AuxerreDrawRennes

2.15

47%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

3.73

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

36%

Auxerre

2.77

24%

Rennes

4.18

Win to Nil

17%

Auxerre

5.95

6%

Rennes

15.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 8.8 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.4 12.6 6.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.0 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.2 4.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.430
λ Away (xG) 1.018
Total xG 2.448
League avg home goals 1.499
League avg away goals 1.202
Auxerre attack strength 0.752
Auxerre defence strength 0.942
Rennes attack strength 0.898
Rennes defence strength 1.269
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56