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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 23 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

30%

Auxerre

3.38

24%

Draw

4.12

46%

Paris Saint Germain

2.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.91

1.64

Paris Saint Germain xG

30%
24%
46%
AuxerreDrawParis Saint Germain

3.38

30%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.17

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

19%

Auxerre

5.15

28%

Paris Saint Germain

3.55

Win to Nil

6%

Auxerre

17.39

13%

Paris Saint Germain

7.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 9.0 7.3 4.0 1.6 0.5
1 6.9 11.4 9.3 5.1 2.1 0.7
2 4.4 7.2 5.9 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 1.9 3.0 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.268
λ Away (xG) 1.639
Total xG 2.907
League avg home goals 1.549
League avg away goals 1.242
Auxerre attack strength 0.895
Auxerre defence strength 1.044
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.264
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.914
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52