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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 8 Feb 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Auxerre Win

42%

Auxerre

2.38

27%

Draw

3.75

31%

Paris FC

3.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.52

1.15

Paris FC xG

42%
27%
31%
AuxerreDrawParis FC

2.38

42%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

3.19

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

32%

Auxerre

3.15

25%

Paris FC

3.94

Win to Nil

13%

Auxerre

7.50

8%

Paris FC

12.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 9.2 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.1 12.7 7.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 8.7 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.5 4.0 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.372
λ Away (xG) 1.147
Total xG 2.519
League avg home goals 1.460
League avg away goals 1.219
Auxerre attack strength 0.856
Auxerre defence strength 1.018
Paris FC attack strength 0.924
Paris FC defence strength 1.097
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 20