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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

18:00

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Auxerre Win

44%

Auxerre

2.30

32%

Draw

3.15

25%

Nantes

4.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.6%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Auxerre xG

Total xG

1.93

0.78

Nantes xG

44%
32%
25%
AuxerreDrawNantes

2.30

44%

Home win

3.15

32%

Draw

4.05

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.67

63%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

46%

Auxerre

2.19

32%

Nantes

3.13

Win to Nil

20%

Auxerre

5.03

8%

Nantes

12.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.6 11.4 4.5 1.2 0.2
1 16.6 13.0 5.1 1.3 0.3
2 9.5 7.5 2.9 0.8 0.1
3 3.6 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.142
λ Away (xG) 0.784
Total xG 1.926
League avg home goals 1.482
League avg away goals 1.192
Auxerre attack strength 0.782
Auxerre defence strength 0.885
Nantes attack strength 0.743
Nantes defence strength 0.986
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 61