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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Auxerre Win

49%

Auxerre

2.04

24%

Draw

4.17

27%

Le Havre

3.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.88

1.19

Le Havre xG

49%
24%
27%
AuxerreDrawLe Havre

2.04

49%

Home win

4.17

24%

Draw

3.72

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

30%

Auxerre

3.29

18%

Le Havre

5.43

Win to Nil

15%

Auxerre

6.69

5%

Le Havre

20.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 6.7 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 9.5 11.3 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.5 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.5 5.4 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.2
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.692
λ Away (xG) 1.190
Total xG 2.882
League avg home goals 1.734
League avg away goals 1.285
Auxerre attack strength 0.834
Auxerre defence strength 0.998
Le Havre attack strength 0.928
Le Havre defence strength 1.170
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42