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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Wed 23 Apr 2025

16:00

Venue

Vare Areena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

KuPS Win

38%

KuPS

2.63

32%

Draw

3.13

30%

Mariehamn

3.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.4%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

KuPS xG

Total xG

1.87

0.86

Mariehamn xG

38%
32%
30%
KuPSDrawMariehamn

2.63

38%

Home win

3.13

32%

Draw

3.34

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.73

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

42%

KuPS

2.36

36%

Mariehamn

2.75

Win to Nil

16%

KuPS

6.20

11%

Mariehamn

9.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.4 13.2 5.7 1.6 0.3 0.1
1 15.6 13.4 5.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 7.9 6.8 2.9 0.8 0.2
3 2.7 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.011
λ Away (xG) 0.859
Total xG 1.870
League avg home goals 1.266
League avg away goals 1.389
KuPS attack strength 0.938
KuPS defence strength 0.679
Mariehamn attack strength 0.912
Mariehamn defence strength 0.851
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 25 / 25