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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Wed 11 Feb 2026

20:15

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

45%

Sunderland

2.23

31%

Draw

3.26

24%

Liverpool

4.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Sunderland xG

Total xG

2.75

1.15

Liverpool xG

45%
31%
24%
SunderlandDrawLiverpool

2.23

45%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

4.10

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

32%

Sunderland

3.16

20%

Liverpool

4.96

Win to Nil

14%

Sunderland

7.03

5%

Liverpool

20.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 7.3 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 10.2 11.8 6.8 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.4 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.4 5.0 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.8 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.601
λ Away (xG) 1.149
Total xG 2.750
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.277
Sunderland attack strength 1.022
Sunderland defence strength 0.795
Liverpool attack strength 1.132
Liverpool defence strength 1.068
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 63