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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

39%

Sunderland

2.57

35%

Draw

2.84

26%

Crystal Palace

3.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Sunderland xG

Total xG

2.14

0.94

Crystal Palace xG

39%
35%
26%
SunderlandDrawCrystal Palace

2.57

39%

Home win

2.84

35%

Draw

3.86

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

39%

Sunderland

2.57

30%

Crystal Palace

3.32

Win to Nil

15%

Sunderland

6.62

8%

Crystal Palace

12.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 11.1 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.1 13.3 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.4 8.0 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.4 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.199
λ Away (xG) 0.944
Total xG 2.143
League avg home goals 1.513
League avg away goals 1.240
Sunderland attack strength 0.868
Sunderland defence strength 0.851
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.895
Crystal Palace defence strength 0.913
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 59