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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

15:00

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

56%

Sunderland

1.78

20%

Draw

4.95

24%

Bournemouth

4.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

3 – 1

6.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.22

Sunderland xG

Total xG

3.61

1.39

Bournemouth xG

56%
20%
24%
SunderlandDrawBournemouth

1.78

56%

Home win

4.95

20%

Draw

4.24

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.03

Clean Sheet

25%

Sunderland

4.02

11%

Bournemouth

9.19

Win to Nil

14%

Sunderland

7.16

3%

Bournemouth

38.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 3.8 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 6.0 8.4 5.8 2.7 0.9 0.3
2 6.7 9.3 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 4.9 6.8 4.8 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 2.7 3.8 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.218
λ Away (xG) 1.392
Total xG 3.610
League avg home goals 1.551
League avg away goals 1.181
Sunderland attack strength 1.039
Sunderland defence strength 1.025
Bournemouth attack strength 1.151
Bournemouth defence strength 1.376
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 12 / 50