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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fulham Win

11%

Southampton

8.78

18%

Draw

5.63

71%

Fulham

1.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

12.2%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.78

Southampton xG

Total xG

3.04

2.26

Fulham xG

18%
71%
SouthamptonDrawFulham

8.78

11%

Home win

5.63

18%

Draw

1.41

71%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

10%

Southampton

9.58

46%

Fulham

2.19

Win to Nil

1%

Southampton

84.14

32%

Fulham

3.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 10.8 12.2 9.2 5.2 2.3
1 3.7 8.4 9.5 7.2 4.1 1.8
2 1.5 3.3 3.7 2.8 1.6 0.7
3 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.782
λ Away (xG) 2.260
Total xG 3.042
League avg home goals 1.450
League avg away goals 1.420
Southampton attack strength 0.569
Southampton defence strength 1.629
Fulham attack strength 0.977
Fulham defence strength 0.948
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 71