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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Liverpool Win

27%

Nottingham Forest

3.77

34%

Draw

2.93

39%

Liverpool

2.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.44

1.35

Liverpool xG

27%
34%
39%
Nottingham ForestDrawLiverpool

3.77

27%

Home win

2.93

34%

Draw

2.54

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

26%

Nottingham Forest

3.87

34%

Liverpool

2.97

Win to Nil

7%

Nottingham Forest

14.58

13%

Liverpool

7.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 11.8 8.0 3.6 1.2 0.3
1 9.5 12.8 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.1 7.0 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 1.9 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.087
λ Away (xG) 1.353
Total xG 2.440
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.268
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.766
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.949
Liverpool attack strength 1.124
Liverpool defence strength 0.993
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64