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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 19 Apr 2026

14:00

Venue

City Ground

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nottingham Forest Win

44%

Nottingham Forest

2.25

32%

Draw

3.11

23%

Burnley

4.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Nottingham Forest xG

Total xG

2.25

0.91

Burnley xG

44%
32%
23%
Nottingham ForestDrawBurnley

2.25

44%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

4.26

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

40%

Nottingham Forest

2.49

26%

Burnley

3.80

Win to Nil

18%

Nottingham Forest

5.62

6%

Burnley

16.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 9.6 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 14.1 12.9 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.4 8.6 3.9 1.2 0.3
3 4.2 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.3 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.335
λ Away (xG) 0.914
Total xG 2.249
League avg home goals 1.372
League avg away goals 1.247
Nottingham Forest attack strength 0.688
Nottingham Forest defence strength 0.879
Burnley attack strength 0.833
Burnley defence strength 1.416
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 32