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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Newcastle Win
56%
1.79
26%
3.81
18%
5.62
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
10.7%
Draw
2 – 0
10.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.84
Newcastle xG
Total xG
2.81
0.97
Sunderland xG
NewcastleDrawSunderland
1.79
56%
Home win
3.81
26%
Draw
5.62
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
53%
Over 2.5
1.89
47%
Under 2.5
2.13
31%
Over 3.5
3.23
69%
Under 3.5
1.45
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.85
46%
BTTS No
2.18
Clean Sheet
38%
2.65
16%
6.30
Win to Nil
21%
4.73
3%
35.41
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 11.0 | 10.7 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.2 | 9.9 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.841
λ Away (xG)
0.973
Total xG
2.814
League avg home goals
1.391
League avg away goals
1.245
Newcastle attack strength
1.232
Newcastle defence strength
1.243
Sunderland attack strength
0.628
Sunderland defence strength
1.075
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
68 / 30