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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

St. James' Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newcastle Win

41%

Newcastle

2.47

27%

Draw

3.68

32%

Fulham

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Newcastle xG

Total xG

2.89

1.35

Fulham xG

41%
27%
32%
NewcastleDrawFulham

2.47

41%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

26%

Newcastle

3.86

22%

Fulham

4.65

Win to Nil

11%

Newcastle

9.52

7%

Fulham

14.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 7.5 5.1 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 8.6 11.6 7.8 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 8.9 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.4 4.5 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.536
λ Away (xG) 1.351
Total xG 2.887
League avg home goals 1.489
League avg away goals 1.553
Newcastle attack strength 1.144
Newcastle defence strength 0.857
Fulham attack strength 1.015
Fulham defence strength 0.902
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61