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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

20:00

Venue

Anfield

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Liverpool Win

79%

Liverpool

1.26

15%

Draw

6.87

6%

Leicester

16.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.88

Liverpool xG

Total xG

3.65

0.77

Leicester xG

79%
15%
LiverpoolDrawLeicester

1.26

79%

Home win

6.87

15%

Draw

16.61

6%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

46%

Liverpool

2.15

6%

Leicester

17.83

Win to Nil

37%

Liverpool

2.71

0%

Leicester

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 2.0 0.8 0.2
1 7.5 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 10.8 8.3 3.2 0.8 0.2
3 10.4 8.0 3.0 0.8 0.1
4 7.5 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
5 4.3 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.881
λ Away (xG) 0.766
Total xG 3.647
League avg home goals 1.526
League avg away goals 1.474
Liverpool attack strength 1.175
Liverpool defence strength 0.699
Leicester attack strength 0.743
Leicester defence strength 1.608
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 17