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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

12:30

Venue

Craven Cottage

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fulham Win

44%

Fulham

2.25

28%

Draw

3.59

28%

Aston Villa

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Fulham xG

Total xG

2.85

1.24

Aston Villa xG

44%
28%
28%
FulhamDrawAston Villa

2.25

44%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

29%

Fulham

3.46

20%

Aston Villa

5.01

Win to Nil

13%

Fulham

7.78

6%

Aston Villa

18.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 7.2 4.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 9.3 11.5 7.2 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.3 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.0 5.0 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.612
λ Away (xG) 1.240
Total xG 2.852
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.278
Fulham attack strength 1.079
Fulham defence strength 1.008
Aston Villa attack strength 0.962
Aston Villa defence strength 1.067
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71