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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Everton Win
50%
1.99
27%
3.66
22%
4.46
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.9%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.5%
Draw
0 – 0
10.6%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.41
Everton xG
Total xG
2.25
0.84
Newcastle xG
EvertonDrawNewcastle
1.99
50%
Home win
3.66
27%
Draw
4.46
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.33
57%
BTTS No
1.75
Clean Sheet
43%
2.31
24%
4.08
Win to Nil
22%
4.60
5%
18.22
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.6 | 8.9 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 14.9 | 12.5 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.5 | 8.8 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.407
λ Away (xG)
0.839
Total xG
2.246
League avg home goals
1.559
League avg away goals
1.198
Everton attack strength
0.891
Everton defence strength
0.889
Newcastle attack strength
0.788
Newcastle defence strength
1.012
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
50 / 50