Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

14:00

Venue

Selhurst Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newcastle Win

28%

Crystal Palace

3.60

34%

Draw

2.94

38%

Newcastle

2.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

Crystal Palace xG

Total xG

2.13

1.17

Newcastle xG

28%
34%
38%
Crystal PalaceDrawNewcastle

3.60

28%

Home win

2.94

34%

Draw

2.62

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

31%

Crystal Palace

3.22

38%

Newcastle

2.62

Win to Nil

9%

Crystal Palace

11.59

15%

Newcastle

6.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 13.8 8.1 3.2 0.9 0.2
1 11.4 13.4 7.8 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 5.5 6.4 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 1.8 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.965
λ Away (xG) 1.170
Total xG 2.135
League avg home goals 1.390
League avg away goals 1.253
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.729
Crystal Palace defence strength 1.010
Newcastle attack strength 0.924
Newcastle defence strength 0.952
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 69