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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Wed 11 Feb 2026

19:30

Venue

Selhurst Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crystal Palace Win

44%

Crystal Palace

2.29

33%

Draw

3.05

23%

Burnley

4.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Crystal Palace xG

Total xG

2.45

1.01

Burnley xG

44%
33%
23%
Crystal PalaceDrawBurnley

2.29

44%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

4.27

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

36%

Crystal Palace

2.76

24%

Burnley

4.22

Win to Nil

16%

Crystal Palace

6.30

6%

Burnley

18.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 8.7 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.4 12.5 6.4 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 8.9 9.0 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.3 4.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.440
λ Away (xG) 1.014
Total xG 2.454
League avg home goals 1.469
League avg away goals 1.282
Crystal Palace attack strength 0.709
Crystal Palace defence strength 1.013
Burnley attack strength 0.781
Burnley defence strength 1.383
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 25