Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 27 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Turf Moor

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Everton Win

26%

Burnley

3.92

30%

Draw

3.38

45%

Everton

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.84

Burnley xG

Total xG

2.06

1.22

Everton xG

26%
30%
45%
BurnleyDrawEverton

3.92

26%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.50

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

30%

Burnley

3.38

43%

Everton

2.32

Win to Nil

8%

Burnley

13.22

19%

Everton

5.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.8 15.5 9.5 3.8 1.2 0.3
1 10.7 13.1 8.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 4.5 5.5 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.841
λ Away (xG) 1.217
Total xG 2.058
League avg home goals 1.547
League avg away goals 1.270
Burnley attack strength 0.677
Burnley defence strength 1.185
Everton attack strength 0.809
Everton defence strength 0.803
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 55