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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

Turf Moor

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Brentford Win

21%

Burnley

4.66

30%

Draw

3.38

49%

Brentford

2.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Burnley xG

Total xG

2.73

1.67

Brentford xG

21%
30%
49%
BurnleyDrawBrentford

4.66

21%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

2.04

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

19%

Burnley

5.31

35%

Brentford

2.89

Win to Nil

4%

Burnley

24.75

17%

Brentford

5.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 10.9 9.1 5.1 2.1 0.7
1 6.9 11.5 9.6 5.4 2.2 0.7
2 3.7 6.1 5.1 2.8 1.2 0.4
3 1.3 2.2 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.061
λ Away (xG) 1.670
Total xG 2.731
League avg home goals 1.407
League avg away goals 1.274
Burnley attack strength 0.725
Burnley defence strength 1.255
Brentford attack strength 1.045
Brentford defence strength 1.041
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 65