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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arsenal Win
26%
3.82
31%
3.23
43%
2.33
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
16.3%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.5%
Draw
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.81
Burnley xG
Total xG
1.93
1.12
Arsenal xG
BurnleyDrawArsenal
3.82
26%
Home win
3.23
31%
Draw
2.33
43%
Away win
Goals Markets
58%
Over 1.5
1.72
42%
Under 1.5
2.38
30%
Over 2.5
3.33
70%
Under 2.5
1.43
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.67
63%
BTTS No
1.60
Clean Sheet
32%
3.08
45%
2.24
Win to Nil
8%
11.77
19%
5.23
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.5 | 16.3 | 9.2 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.7 | 13.2 | 7.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.808
λ Away (xG)
1.125
Total xG
1.933
League avg home goals
1.457
League avg away goals
1.220
Burnley attack strength
0.814
Burnley defence strength
0.907
Arsenal attack strength
1.017
Arsenal defence strength
0.681
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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