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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

12:30

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

62%

Bournemouth

1.61

26%

Draw

3.81

12%

Sunderland

8.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

2.57

0.72

Sunderland xG

62%
26%
12%
BournemouthDrawSunderland

1.61

62%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

8.48

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.20

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

49%

Bournemouth

2.06

16%

Sunderland

6.34

Win to Nil

30%

Bournemouth

3.32

2%

Sunderland

53.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 5.5 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.1 10.2 3.7 0.9 0.2
2 13.1 9.4 3.4 0.8 0.1
3 8.0 5.8 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 3.7 2.7 1.0 0.2
5 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.847
λ Away (xG) 0.723
Total xG 2.570
League avg home goals 1.413
League avg away goals 1.272
Bournemouth attack strength 1.087
Bournemouth defence strength 1.005
Sunderland attack strength 0.566
Sunderland defence strength 1.202
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 27