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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Vitality Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bournemouth Win

61%

Bournemouth

1.63

21%

Draw

4.73

17%

Burnley

5.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Bournemouth xG

Total xG

2.94

0.95

Burnley xG

61%
21%
17%
BournemouthDrawBurnley

1.63

61%

Home win

4.73

21%

Draw

5.76

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

39%

Bournemouth

2.59

14%

Burnley

7.29

Win to Nil

24%

Bournemouth

4.21

2%

Burnley

42.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 10.5 10.0 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.9 6.6 3.1 1.0 0.2
4 3.4 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.987
λ Away (xG) 0.950
Total xG 2.937
League avg home goals 1.573
League avg away goals 1.304
Bournemouth attack strength 0.854
Bournemouth defence strength 0.772
Burnley attack strength 0.943
Burnley defence strength 1.479
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 16