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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Aston Villa Win
50%
2.01
31%
3.19
19%
5.30
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.7%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
0 – 0
11.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.41
Aston Villa xG
Total xG
2.20
0.79
Sunderland xG
Aston VillaDrawSunderland
2.01
50%
Home win
3.19
31%
Draw
5.30
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
65%
Over 1.5
1.54
35%
Under 1.5
2.86
38%
Over 2.5
2.63
62%
Under 2.5
1.61
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.31
57%
BTTS No
1.76
Clean Sheet
46%
2.20
24%
4.11
Win to Nil
23%
4.41
5%
21.78
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.1 | 8.7 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 15.7 | 12.3 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 11.1 | 8.7 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.413
λ Away (xG)
0.787
Total xG
2.200
League avg home goals
1.372
League avg away goals
1.247
Aston Villa attack strength
0.990
Aston Villa defence strength
0.885
Sunderland attack strength
0.713
Sunderland defence strength
1.041
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
70 / 32