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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Wed 11 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

68%

Swindon Town

1.46

18%

Draw

5.62

14%

Newport County

7.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.37

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

3.34

0.97

Newport County xG

68%
18%
14%
Swindon TownDrawNewport County

1.46

68%

Home win

5.62

18%

Draw

7.24

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

38%

Swindon Town

2.64

9%

Newport County

10.68

Win to Nil

26%

Swindon Town

3.86

1%

Newport County

77.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 3.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.4 8.2 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 9.9 9.7 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 7.9 7.6 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 4.6 4.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
5 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.368
λ Away (xG) 0.971
Total xG 3.339
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.205
Swindon Town attack strength 1.254
Swindon Town defence strength 0.915
Newport County attack strength 0.881
Newport County defence strength 1.474
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 75