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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Tue 17 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Peninsula Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Salford City Win

57%

Salford City

1.75

24%

Draw

4.22

19%

Newport County

5.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Salford City xG

Total xG

2.61

0.89

Newport County xG

57%
24%
19%
Salford CityDrawNewport County

1.75

57%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

5.21

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

41%

Salford City

2.43

18%

Newport County

5.61

Win to Nil

24%

Salford City

4.25

3%

Newport County

29.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 6.5 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 12.6 11.2 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.9 9.7 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.3 5.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
4 2.7 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.725
λ Away (xG) 0.888
Total xG 2.613
League avg home goals 1.275
League avg away goals 1.168
Salford City attack strength 0.993
Salford City defence strength 0.982
Newport County attack strength 0.774
Newport County defence strength 1.362
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 77