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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Meadow Lane

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AFC Wimbledon Win

33%

Notts County

3.05

33%

Draw

3.04

34%

AFC Wimbledon

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.5%

Away win

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

Notts County xG

Total xG

1.90

0.96

AFC Wimbledon xG

33%
33%
34%
Notts CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon

3.05

33%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.63

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

38%

Notts County

2.62

39%

AFC Wimbledon

2.54

Win to Nil

13%

Notts County

7.99

13%

AFC Wimbledon

7.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.0 14.5 7.0 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 14.0 13.5 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 6.5 6.3 3.0 1.0 0.2
3 2.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.933
λ Away (xG) 0.962
Total xG 1.895
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.139
Notts County attack strength 0.963
Notts County defence strength 1.055
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 0.801
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 0.755
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 92 / 92