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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Fri 3 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newport County Win

47%

Newport County

2.13

31%

Draw

3.24

22%

Crawley Town

4.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.0%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.4%

Draw

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Newport County xG

Total xG

1.87

0.70

Crawley Town xG

47%
31%
22%
Newport CountyDrawCrawley Town

2.13

47%

Home win

3.24

31%

Draw

4.52

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.88

65%

BTTS No

1.53

Clean Sheet

50%

Newport County

2.02

31%

Crawley Town

3.22

Win to Nil

23%

Newport County

4.29

7%

Crawley Town

14.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.4 10.8 3.8 0.9 0.2
1 18.0 12.6 4.4 1.0 0.2
2 10.5 7.4 2.6 0.6 0.1
3 4.1 2.9 1.0 0.2
4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.168
λ Away (xG) 0.701
Total xG 1.869
League avg home goals 1.215
League avg away goals 1.158
Newport County attack strength 0.841
Newport County defence strength 1.146
Crawley Town attack strength 0.528
Crawley Town defence strength 1.142
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 86 / 40