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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

Alexandra Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Crewe Win

44%

Crewe

2.29

25%

Draw

3.94

31%

Gillingham

3.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Crewe xG

Total xG

2.73

1.23

Gillingham xG

44%
25%
31%
CreweDrawGillingham

2.29

44%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

3.23

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

29%

Crewe

3.41

22%

Gillingham

4.51

Win to Nil

13%

Crewe

7.82

7%

Gillingham

14.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.0 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.2
1 9.8 12.0 7.4 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 9.0 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.7 4.5 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.506
λ Away (xG) 1.228
Total xG 2.734
League avg home goals 1.269
League avg away goals 1.194
Crewe attack strength 1.231
Crewe defence strength 1.048
Gillingham attack strength 0.982
Gillingham defence strength 0.963
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 77 / 75