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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Tue 17 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

SMH Group Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

45%

Chesterfield

2.22

27%

Draw

3.68

28%

Gillingham

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Chesterfield xG

Total xG

2.39

1.02

Gillingham xG

45%
27%
28%
ChesterfieldDrawGillingham

2.22

45%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

36%

Chesterfield

2.77

25%

Gillingham

3.95

Win to Nil

16%

Chesterfield

6.17

7%

Gillingham

14.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 9.3 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.5 12.8 6.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.6 8.8 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.9 4.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.374
λ Away (xG) 1.020
Total xG 2.394
League avg home goals 1.275
League avg away goals 1.168
Chesterfield attack strength 1.163
Chesterfield defence strength 0.963
Gillingham attack strength 0.907
Gillingham defence strength 0.926
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 77 / 76