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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Wham Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

33%

Accrington ST

3.00

24%

Draw

4.16

43%

Notts County

2.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

2 – 1

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Accrington ST xG

Total xG

3.40

1.81

Notts County xG

33%
24%
43%
Accrington STDrawNotts County

3.00

33%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

2.34

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.48

33%

BTTS No

3.07

Clean Sheet

16%

Accrington ST

6.13

20%

Notts County

4.90

Win to Nil

5%

Accrington ST

18.42

9%

Notts County

11.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 6.0 5.5 3.3 1.5 0.5
1 5.3 9.6 8.7 5.3 2.4 0.9
2 4.2 7.6 6.9 4.2 1.9 0.7
3 2.2 4.0 3.7 2.2 1.0 0.4
4 0.9 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.589
λ Away (xG) 1.814
Total xG 3.403
League avg home goals 1.332
League avg away goals 1.178
Accrington ST attack strength 1.047
Accrington ST defence strength 1.190
Notts County attack strength 1.294
Notts County defence strength 1.139
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 70