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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Tue 11 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Wham Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Accrington ST Win

43%

Accrington ST

2.35

27%

Draw

3.70

30%

Newport County

3.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Accrington ST xG

Total xG

2.45

1.10

Newport County xG

43%
27%
30%
Accrington STDrawNewport County

2.35

43%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

3.29

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

33%

Accrington ST

3.00

26%

Newport County

3.87

Win to Nil

14%

Accrington ST

7.06

8%

Newport County

12.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 9.5 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.7 12.8 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.9 8.7 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.6 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.352
λ Away (xG) 1.099
Total xG 2.451
League avg home goals 1.279
League avg away goals 1.058
Accrington ST attack strength 0.840
Accrington ST defence strength 1.050
Newport County attack strength 0.989
Newport County defence strength 1.259
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 81 / 81