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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Tue 28 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

STōK Cae Ras

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wrexham Win

43%

Wrexham

2.32

37%

Draw

2.70

20%

Stevenage

5.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

24.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

21.9%

Home win

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Wrexham xG

Total xG

1.42

0.52

Stevenage xG

43%
37%
20%
WrexhamDrawStevenage

2.32

43%

Home win

2.70

37%

Draw

5.04

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

42%

Over 1.5

2.38

58%

Under 1.5

1.72

17%

Over 2.5

5.88

83%

Under 2.5

1.20

6%

Over 3.5

16.67

94%

Under 3.5

1.06

2%

Over 4.5

50.00

98%

Under 4.5

1.02

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

24%

BTTS Yes

4.14

76%

BTTS No

1.32

Clean Sheet

60%

Wrexham

1.67

40%

Stevenage

2.48

Win to Nil

26%

Wrexham

3.88

8%

Stevenage

12.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 24.1 12.4 3.2 0.5 0.1
1 21.9 11.3 2.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.9 5.1 1.3 0.2
3 3.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.908
λ Away (xG) 0.515
Total xG 1.423
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 1.169
Wrexham attack strength 1.108
Wrexham defence strength 0.747
Stevenage attack strength 0.590
Stevenage defence strength 0.641
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 71