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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

12:30

Venue

STōK Cae Ras

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wrexham Win

43%

Wrexham

2.31

31%

Draw

3.21

26%

Burton Albion

3.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.9%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Wrexham xG

Total xG

1.97

0.82

Burton Albion xG

43%
31%
26%
WrexhamDrawBurton Albion

2.31

43%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

3.92

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.59

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

44%

Wrexham

2.26

31%

Burton Albion

3.18

Win to Nil

19%

Wrexham

5.22

8%

Burton Albion

12.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.9 11.4 4.6 1.3 0.3
1 16.1 13.1 5.4 1.5 0.3
2 9.3 7.6 3.1 0.8 0.2
3 3.6 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.156
λ Away (xG) 0.816
Total xG 1.972
League avg home goals 1.277
League avg away goals 1.121
Wrexham attack strength 0.971
Wrexham defence strength 0.845
Burton Albion attack strength 0.861
Burton Albion defence strength 0.932
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 85