Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Semi-finals

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

15:00

Venue

Lamex Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stevenage Win

45%

Stevenage

2.24

29%

Draw

3.47

27%

Stockport County

3.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Stevenage xG

Total xG

2.16

0.90

Stockport County xG

45%
29%
27%
StevenageDrawStockport County

2.24

45%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

3.76

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

41%

Stevenage

2.46

28%

Stockport County

3.52

Win to Nil

18%

Stevenage

5.53

8%

Stockport County

13.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 10.4 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.5 13.1 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.1 8.2 3.7 1.1 0.3
3 3.8 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.258
λ Away (xG) 0.902
Total xG 2.160
League avg home goals 1.362
League avg away goals 1.238
Stevenage attack strength 0.878
Stevenage defence strength 0.652
Stockport County attack strength 1.118
Stockport County defence strength 1.052
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 92 / 92