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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Tue 17 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Lamex Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stevenage Win

56%

Stevenage

1.78

29%

Draw

3.44

15%

Port Vale

6.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

20.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.0%

Draw

2 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Stevenage xG

Total xG

1.83

0.53

Port Vale xG

56%
29%
15%
StevenageDrawPort Vale

1.78

56%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

6.70

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

30%

BTTS Yes

3.36

70%

BTTS No

1.42

Clean Sheet

59%

Stevenage

1.69

27%

Port Vale

3.70

Win to Nil

33%

Stevenage

3.02

4%

Port Vale

24.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.0 8.4 2.2 0.4 0.1
1 20.9 11.0 2.9 0.5 0.1
2 13.7 7.2 1.9 0.3
3 6.0 3.1 0.8 0.1
4 1.9 1.0 0.3
5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.307
λ Away (xG) 0.525
Total xG 1.832
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.151
Stevenage attack strength 0.780
Stevenage defence strength 0.693
Port Vale attack strength 0.659
Port Vale defence strength 1.206
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 28