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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Tue 20 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Lamex Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stevenage Win

42%

Stevenage

2.36

30%

Draw

3.35

28%

Bolton

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Stevenage xG

Total xG

2.06

0.89

Bolton xG

42%
30%
28%
StevenageDrawBolton

2.36

42%

Home win

3.35

30%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.45

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

41%

Stevenage

2.44

31%

Bolton

3.23

Win to Nil

17%

Stevenage

5.77

9%

Bolton

11.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.7 11.3 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 14.9 13.3 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.7 7.8 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 3.4 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.173
λ Away (xG) 0.892
Total xG 2.065
League avg home goals 1.384
League avg away goals 1.102
Stevenage attack strength 0.860
Stevenage defence strength 0.913
Bolton attack strength 0.886
Bolton defence strength 0.985
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 72