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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bolton Win
19%
5.19
26%
3.81
55%
1.83
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.5%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.9%
Draw
0 – 2
11.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.77
Port Vale xG
Total xG
2.27
1.50
Bolton xG
Port ValeDrawBolton
5.19
19%
Home win
3.81
26%
Draw
1.83
55%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.40
58%
BTTS No
1.71
Clean Sheet
22%
4.46
46%
2.16
Win to Nil
4%
23.16
25%
3.96
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.4 | 15.5 | 11.6 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 8.0 | 11.9 | 8.9 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 3.1 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.770
λ Away (xG)
1.496
Total xG
2.266
League avg home goals
1.404
League avg away goals
1.183
Port Vale attack strength
0.635
Port Vale defence strength
1.152
Bolton attack strength
1.098
Bolton defence strength
0.864
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
35 / 84