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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Home Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Plymouth Win

53%

Plymouth

1.88

23%

Draw

4.28

24%

Port Vale

4.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Plymouth xG

Total xG

2.87

1.10

Port Vale xG

53%
23%
24%
PlymouthDrawPort Vale

1.88

53%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

4.25

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

33%

Plymouth

3.00

17%

Port Vale

5.88

Win to Nil

18%

Plymouth

5.66

4%

Port Vale

24.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 6.2 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.0 11.0 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 5.2 5.8 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.771
λ Away (xG) 1.100
Total xG 2.871
League avg home goals 1.362
League avg away goals 1.165
Plymouth attack strength 1.077
Plymouth defence strength 1.246
Port Vale attack strength 0.757
Port Vale defence strength 1.207
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 43